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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
John Harbaugh 14.5%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 19, 26, 2:18 PM UTCFeb 15, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRules
Who will win the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year award in the 2026-2027 season?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome wins the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year in the 2026-2027 season.
- Outcome verified from the Governing League and ESPN.
- Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Coach of the Year Winner? · Jesse Minter 13%
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Coach of the Year Winner?
- Gemini prices John Harbaugh at 15% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Coach of the Year Winner resolve?
- Coach of the Year Winner is scheduled to resolve on February 15, 2027.
- How is Coach of the Year Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the Pro Football AP Coach of the Year award in the 2026-2027 season?
- Where else is Coach of the Year Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.