GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 2:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Tampa Bay 72.6%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:48 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Which team will win the 2026 Pro Baseball AL East Division?
- Resolves Yes if the named outcome is the 2026 Pro Baseball AL East Division Winner.
- Outcome verification will be based on ESPN, Fox Sports, The Wall Street Journal, and the Governing League.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Tampa Bay is 78%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Tampa Bay 78% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — AL East Division Winner · Tampa Bay 74%
Open markets
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
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- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for AL East Division Winner?
- Gemini prices Tampa Bay at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does AL East Division Winner resolve?
- AL East Division Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is AL East Division Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Which team will win the 2026 Pro Baseball AL East Division?
- Where else is AL East Division Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.