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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. EU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?

EU dissolves before 2027?

One-OffGeopolitikEurope6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktqualitat

80 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

337 €

Liquidität

33.001,1 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

3.3% / 3.4%

Spread

3.0%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

7. Dez. 25, 23:2331. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes3%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
  • 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
  • EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
  • 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
  • EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.