EU dissolves in ?
KI
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 51%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
62
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-3.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet10. Dez. 25, 10:39 UTC31. Dez. 50, 10:37 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
EU dissolves before 2027?
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PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
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KalshiWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Politics / News
- Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when the EU dissolves (i.e., "dissolves in" a specific year), not whether it dissolves before a certain date.
- This is a multiple choice market where after one answer resolves YES, all others resolve NO.
- Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve before 2050 if the EU dissolves prior to the close date, or at the close date (2050) if it has not dissolved by then.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für EU dissolves in ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird EU dissolves in ? entschieden?
- EU dissolves in ? soll am 31. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird EU dissolves in ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Politics / News