PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 31%+0.1%
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1314,6 €
Liquidität
81.853,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
3.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
24. Juli 26, 21:5431. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes31%
Volumentrend
$1.5k24. Juli3T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23.864,9 €Ja: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
2779,3 €Ja: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1145,1 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
686,1 €Ja: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
454,4 €Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWestern major media calls Tibet Xizang before 2027?
290,9 €Ja: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.