PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 98%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
20.783,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 2.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 15:5031. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes2%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 98% | — | 0 € | 20.783,7 € | vor 22 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets90% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 96% | — | — | — | vor 6 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
5Mon
95.7%
4.3%
Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$53. Juli12T Daten21. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
141.133,5 €August 31: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
94.649,5 €Ja: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
74.325,6 €December 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
16.070,4 €Ceasefire: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
1517 €Donald Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1144,3 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Denmark between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Danish military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Royal Danish Navy and other branches of the Danish Armed Forces are considered part of Denmark’s military.