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Daten vom 08.09.2026, 22:47 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 50%
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
25. Aug. 26, 13:55 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
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Manifold MarketsChina-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as melee weapons, missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für China x Philippines military clash before 2027??
- Limitless bewertet Yes mit 50% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird China x Philippines military clash before 2027? entschieden?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird China x Philippines military clash before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Limitless rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Wo wird China x Philippines military clash before 2027? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.