PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 96%-0.0pt
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
440,5 €
Liquidität
42.607,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.6% / 4.6%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+0.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
13. Nov. 25, 16:2531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes4%
Volumentrend
$5012. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
8683,1 €Ja: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
1108,7 €Ja: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
504,6 €Ja: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
454,2 €Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?
66,7 €Other: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US mass airlift chips from Taiwan if China implements a blockade?
12,2 €Ja: 33.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
- Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
- Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
- Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.