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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. China coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

1.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikChina6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 3%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1565,8 €

Liquidität

39.002,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.9% / 3.4%

Spread

17.2%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+0.3%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

13. Nov. 25, 16:2631. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes3%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership.
  • Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
  • Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt.
  • Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.