Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
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Veraltet9. Nov. 24, 05:49 UTC22. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Since what counts as a "coup" and what is sufficient grounds for a coup to have been "attempted" are potentially tricky to adjudicate, I will use my best judgement when deciding edge cases.
- I am open to arguments and will aim to resolve according to the the spirit of the question.
- That being said, to provide some insight into what I will be looking for, I imagine that a "coup attempt" is a serious, deliberate effort to forcibly seize the federal executive branch of the United States.
- The effort may be successful or unsuccessful.
- This question resolves YES if a coup attempt is made against Donald Trump during his second term, and NO on 21 Jan 2029 if no coup attempt has occurred.
- This question may also resolve NO early if Donald Trump ceases to be US President and therefore it is not possible to coup him (e.g. death, resignation).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term? entschieden?
- Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term? soll am 22. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Since what counts as a "coup" and what is sufficient grounds for a coup to have been "attempted" are potentially tricky to adjudicate, I will use my best judgement when deciding edge cases.