Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Veraltet21. Jan. 25, 10:07 UTC1. Jan. 27, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland and Iceland go to war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
FutuurEU has a new member before 2030?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).
- However, Iceland is not a member of the EU itself.
- Here are some key points about Iceland's relationship with the EU:
- * Iceland is part of the Schengen Area, allowing for passport-free travel between Iceland and other Schengen countries.
- * Iceland is a member of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), which allows for the free movement of goods with EU member states.
- * Iceland has a bilateral agreement with the EU, the European Economic Area Agreement (EEA Agreement), which grants Iceland access to the EU's single market.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 494.578,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 809.348,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 123.374,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? entschieden?
- Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).