[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.6%
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Veraltet21. März 24, 18:56 UTC2. Jan. 27, 08:00 UTC
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Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21548/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if credible media sources report a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before January 1, 2027.
- For this question, a direct conflict would be defined as:
- Any presence of uniformed troops within the internationally recognized borders of a hostile state without permission (whether these are NATO soldiers within Russian borders, or Russian soldiers within the borders of any NATO member state.)
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- [Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
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