Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Elif Eralp 49%-15.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.168,3 €
Liquidität
96.079,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
-26.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 12:0820. Sept. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Regeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Elif Eralp liegt bei 49%. Die Kurse liegen rund 4 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Elif Eralp 49% · 2 Plattformen · 4 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 45%
Offene Märkte
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
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- 24h-Volumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Governing Mayor of Berlin??
- Polymarket bewertet Elif Eralp mit 49% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? entschieden?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Wo wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.