KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Elif Eralp 45%-21.0ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4513,7 €
Liquidität
10.229,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 16:191. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
Regeln
If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Berlin House of Representatives
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Elif Eralp liegt bei 49%. Die Kurse liegen rund 4 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Elif Eralp 49% · 2 Plattformen · 4 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 49%
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
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- 24h-Volumen
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 181,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Governing Mayor of Berlin??
- Kalshi bewertet Elif Eralp mit 45% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? entschieden?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? soll am 1. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.