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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet9. Feb. 26, 15:14 UTC30. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketWill any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsAfD in a German state government in 2026?
KalshiWIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the AfD officially joins a governing coalition at the state level (Landtag) in any German state by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution requires the AfD to be formally part of a coalition government with executive power, not merely a supporting party in parliament.
- Five German states will hold elections in 2026: Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate (March), Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (September), and Berlin (September).
- The market resolves NO if no AfD-led or AfD-inclusive coalition government is formed by the deadline.
- The AfD has already finished in first place in one state election, in Thuringia in 2024, but did not join a governing coalition.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 78% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026? soll am 30. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria