Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 82.2%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
918,6 €
Liquidität
85.689,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 19:3531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
