Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
None before 2027 30%+1.0%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
172,8 €
Liquidität
224.026,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
29.0% / 30.0%
Spread
3.5%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+23.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 2:1831. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
None before 202730%
Volumentrend
$1972. Juli8T Daten9. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Clacton by-election Winner
523.480,9 €Nigel Farage: 90%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
395.793,5 €Marine Le Pen: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
154.854,3 €United Russia (ER): 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
14.119,2 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
4399,7 €Ja: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?
2897,1 €Ja: 96%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph
Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
- An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
- Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
- Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
- If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.