Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Marine Le Pen 79%+48.0%Führend unter 37 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
9644,4 €
Liquidität
383.370,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
40.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-65.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
1. Juni 26, 23:4030. Apr. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Marine Le Pen79%
Plattformen vergleichen· Marine Le Pen
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteAktivste | 79% | — | 9644,4 € | 383.370,3 € | vor 25 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets | 47% | — | — | — | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?
9Mon
-26.8%36.5%
+29.6%46.7%
45.4%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose22 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen5396,8 €
24h-Volumen358,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$11.0k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
- The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".