Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96%-0.1%Führend unter 46 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7241,4 €
Liquidität
321.986,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.8% / 7.5%
Spread
10.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+3.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 22:2517. Apr. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
Volumentrend
$8.2k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
30.411 €Count Binface: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETClacton by-election Winner
11.297,4 €Nigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
8065,7 €Ja: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
594,2 €Ja: 15.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
524,5 €Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
427,9 €Ja: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place.
- If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.