Will France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?
PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikWahlRussland / UkraineEuropa1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 59.4%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
18. Okt. 26, 16:53 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia introduce exit visas by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWho wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketWill Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the French government officially halts or terminates direct state funding to Ukraine at any point during calendar year 2027 (January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, UTC).
- For the purpose of resolution:
- "Direct state funding" includes bilateral financial aid, budgetary grants, direct loans, or dedicated bilateral reconstruction and defense assistance funds financed by the French state (such as the Fonds de soutien à l'Ukraine or funding via Agence Française de Développement).
- A policy decision or executive order completely ending or indefinitely freezing bilateral financial disbursements to Ukraine satisfies the condition for YES.
- A standard expiration of a pre-scheduled multi-year program does not trigger YES unless accompanied by an explicit French government decision or executive declaration to stop, suspend, or block future funding to Ukraine.
