Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / UkraineEurope1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93.1%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
8482,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
13. Juni 26, 00:03 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce or start building a dual-use research station by end of 2027?
FutuurWill any Antarctic Treaty signatory announce plans for exploratory fossil fuel surveys by end of 2027?
FutuurWill any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement that establishes the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership in the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods, or carve-outs on specific EU policies.
- Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes".
- Ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament, or other legislative bodies is not required for this market to resolve "Yes."
- Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership in the European Economic Area alone will not qualify.
