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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

8.5% (24h)PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / UkraineEurope1J
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 28%+0.1%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

117 €

Liquidität

1228,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

13.0% / 44.0%

Spread

238.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

13. Juni 26, 0:221. Jan. 28, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes28%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement that establishes the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership in the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods, or carve-outs on specific EU policies.
  • Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes".
  • Ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament, or other legislative bodies is not required for this market to resolve "Yes."
  • Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership in the European Economic Area alone will not qualify.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine and the European Union formally sign an accession treaty by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying accession treaty will be a binding agreement that establishes the terms of Ukraine's potential future membership in the European Union, including agreements that provide for partial or limited membership or that contain exemptions, transition periods, or carve-outs on specific EU policies.
  • Ukraine does not need to become a member of the European Union for this market to resolve to "Yes".
  • Ratification of the agreement by EU member states, the Ukrainian parliament, or other legislative bodies is not required for this market to resolve "Yes."
  • Preliminary agreements, association agreements, framework agreements, or membership or potential membership in the European Economic Area alone will not qualify.