Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
CommoditiesRussia / UkraineOne-OffPolitikGeopolitikUS PoliticsEurope3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9806,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.9% / 8.7%
Spread
5.8 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+3.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 19:37 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWho blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution.
- Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.