KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 94%
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2200,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
21. Mai 24, 12:00 UTC1. Jan. 30, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWho will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
KalshiWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?
KalshiRegeln
If Any country joins the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:EU
Offene Märkte
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- 691.801,4 €
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- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für EU has a new member before 2030??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird EU has a new member before 2030? entschieden?
- EU has a new member before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird EU has a new member before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Any country joins the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.