Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 0%-0.1%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
19,6 €
Liquidität
16.440,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.2% / 0.5%
Spread
150.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
3. Jan. 25, 19:3530. Juni 26, 12:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December0%
Verwandte Märkte
Starmer out before July?
9174,7 €Ja: 17%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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France United Left Primary Winner
2562,8 €Canceled: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
1076,1 €December 31,: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
638,2 €PSD: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
86,6 €Ja: 13.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
3,6 €Ja: 10%
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KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.