Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
GeopolitikOne-OffLatin America6MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
26. Apr. 26, 16:03 UTC31. März 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before April 26, 2027, the government of Argentina initiates, declares, or engages in an armed military conflict against the United Kingdom with the explicit objective of taking control of the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas).
- An "armed military conflict" implies official military engagement between the armed forces of both nations.
- This market resolves to NO if no such conflict occurs before the specified date.
- The primary sources for resolution will be official announcements from the governments of the United Kingdom and Argentina, as well as reporting from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- If the event occurs, the market will resolve based on confirmation from these sources.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? entschieden?
- Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria