UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
0.6 pts (24h)One-OffPolitikGeopolitikLatin America5Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 96%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
21.417 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.7% / 5.0%
Spread
2.3 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
27. Apr. 26, 22:0331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes4%
Volumentrend
$3122. Juli18T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
96,9 €December 31: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
92,5 €Ja: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
23,4 €December: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
President of Venezuela at the end of 2026
12,9 €Nicolás Maduro: 0.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
0 €Ja: 32%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
0 €Delcy Rodríguez: 94%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
- Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
- The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.