KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
160,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 23:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
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PolymarketRegeln
If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A definitive official announcement made before the deadline qualifies even if recognition takes effect later.
- A statement that only acknowledges Argentina's claim, reviews U.S. policy, supports negotiations, recognizes de facto U.K. administration, opposes the U.K. without recognizing Argentina, or concerns practical cooperation or resources does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? entschieden?
- Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.