Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
GeopolitikOne-OffGesundheit & MedizinEuropa8JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.5%
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16
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Veraltet5. Juli 25, 18:08 UTC30. Juni 35, 23:59 UTC
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Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Disasters which count
- Nuclear strike or accident
- Infrastructure collapse
- War also counts
- Deaths from old age, traffic, etc don't count unless related.
- A death by disaster is an unintended (by the victim, at a prior state in time) death.
