Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2029?
Gesundheit & MedizinOne-OffGesellschaft & Kultur2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 98.5%
Nein 98.5%Prognostiker
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Veraltet31. Mai 23, 02:09 UTC1. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects the city of San Francisco, we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
