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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Society & Culture

Society & Culture

42 relevante Märkte für Society & Culture, quellenübergreifend verfolgt.

Offene Märkte

33

Gesamtvolumen

$154,697

24h-Volumen

$3,995

Gesamtliquidität

$22,646

Offene Märkte

33

Gesamtvolumen

$154,697

24h-Volumen

$3,995

Gesamtliquidität

$22,646

Verwandte Themen

ReligionUnterhaltungWissenschaft

Themen

Crypto

Bitcoin577

Politics

Middle East370Geopolitik263Politik4143Wahl3217US Politics2337Latin America468

Macro

Fed114Corporate Actions215Commodities143

Sports

Sport6245Soccer3137Baseball613E-Sport443Basketball381FIFA World Cup1038Tennis709American Football303

Tech

Technik605

Science

Space134

Weather

Weather296

Theme

Exchange546Stablecoin433

Entity

Binance421
Manifold Markets

Which users will attend Manifest 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

2Mon
Manifold Markets
Chris / strutheo
56.3%
Manifold Markets
@StochasticParrot
41%
Manifold Markets
@JoseLuisRicon
88.9%

+99 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose68 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen16.304,2 $
24h-Volumen352,2 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

10J
Manifold Markets
Ja
55.4%
Manifold Markets
Nein
44.6%
Community-Prognose96 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen20.272,6 $
24h-Volumen266 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

APUSH cheater prop bets

6Mon
Manifold Markets
has it p1
53.6%
Manifold Markets
has it p2
36.6%
Manifold Markets
is chinese
40%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose39 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen10.690,7 $
24h-Volumen444,8 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

When will Manifest 2026 have 10+ session videos available online?

1Mon
Manifold Markets
Before June 14 2026 (no pressure)
8%
Manifold Markets
Before July 2026
21.2%
Manifold Markets
Before August 2026
37.2%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen815 $
24h-Volumen815 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Another Elon baby by June 30?

Another Elon baby by June 30?

0.5%18T
Ja
Ja
7%
Nein
Nein
93%
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen56.541 $
24h-Volumen137,2 $
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

3J
Manifold Markets
Ja
8.5%
Manifold Markets
Nein
91.5%
Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen688,1 $
24h-Volumen300 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

3J
Manifold Markets
Ja
20%
Manifold Markets
Nein
80%
Community-Prognose77 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen9319,1 $
24h-Volumen101 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

11Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
25%
Manifold Markets
Nein
75%
Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen1244,9 $
24h-Volumen122,2 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I earn at least $25 per hour grading USA(J)MO?

6Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
98.4%
Manifold Markets
Nein
1.6%
Community-Prognose29 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen18.371,5 $
24h-Volumen201,9 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will @jim attend Manifest this year?

6Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
94.3%
Manifold Markets
Nein
5.7%
Community-Prognose24 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen2334,3 $
24h-Volumen125,6 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I make TST?

16T
Manifold Markets
Ja
33%
Manifold Markets
Nein
67%
Community-Prognose19 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen1416,8 $
24h-Volumen148 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Aella die of natural causes?

195J
Manifold Markets
Ja
79.6%
Manifold Markets
Nein
20.4%
Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen670,5 $
24h-Volumen116 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

[snigus] Will I convince Destiny that managing AI-risk should be in top 2 policy priority of his?

19T
Manifold Markets
Ja
28%
Manifold Markets
Nein
72%
Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen737,6 $
24h-Volumen105,8 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Little Joe escape again?

Will Little Joe escape again?

0.9%1Mon
Ja
Ja
-0.0%5%
Nein
Nein
+0.0%95%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1287,1 $
24h-Volumen0 $
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the Montgomery Blair Science Bowl team get hoodies for the 2025-26 year?

19T
Manifold Markets
Ja
48.2%
Manifold Markets
Nein
51.8%
Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen2733,1 $
24h-Volumen77,1 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

17.0%6Mon
Argentina
Argentina
-17.0%63%
Peru
Peru
74%
Portugal
Portugal
20%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1729,5 $
24h-Volumen0 $
KalshiKALSHI
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

1.0%10Mon
Up
Up
-0.0%44%
Down
Down
+0.0%56%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1546 $
24h-Volumen0 $
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

will mr beast will achive 500 million subscribers before 9/11

3Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
98.7%
Manifold Markets
Nein
1.3%
Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen990,3 $
24h-Volumen60 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will my YouTube Channel have more than 15 subscribers at the end of June 2026?

19T
Manifold Markets
Ja
98.9%
Manifold Markets
Nein
1.1%
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen964,5 $
24h-Volumen53,5 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Reading in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

8.0%1J
No significant difference
No significant difference
+8.0%40%
Significant decrease
Significant decrease
-9.0%45%
Significant increase
Significant increase
-1.0%15%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen448,5 $
24h-Volumen18,3 $
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

@MarySmith attends Manifest '26?

4T
Manifold Markets
Ja
95.5%
Manifold Markets
Nein
4.5%
Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen621,3 $
24h-Volumen20 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US test scores in Math in 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

21.0%1J
No significant difference
No significant difference
+21.0%43%
Significant increase
Significant increase
-37.0%7%
Significant decrease
Significant decrease
-2.0%45%
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen415,4 $
24h-Volumen21,4 $
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I attend Manifest?

3T
Manifold Markets
Ja
93.6%
Manifold Markets
Nein
6.4%
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen359,9 $
24h-Volumen32,1 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Nothing Ever Happens 2026

6Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
70%
Manifold Markets
Nein
30%
Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen598,1 $
24h-Volumen3,1 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I get into any MATS tracks in the Autumn 2026 cohort?

19T
Manifold Markets
Ja
20.8%
Manifold Markets
Nein
79.2%
Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen117,7 $
24h-Volumen92,7 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I be below 265 pounds by January 11, 2027? (Today: 318.8 pounds)

7Mon
Manifold Markets
Ja
41.3%
Manifold Markets
Nein
58.7%
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen156,3 $
24h-Volumen50 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?

Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?

2.0%1Mon
Ja
Ja
-0.0%21%
Nein
Nein
+0.0%79%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen106 $
24h-Volumen0 $
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years?

2J
Manifold Markets
Ja
57%
Manifold Markets
Nein
43%
Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen53,3 $
24h-Volumen53,3 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

5.0%1J
Carnegie Mellon
Carnegie Mellon
-5.0%59%
WashU
WashU
44%
Michigan
Michigan
63%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen119,1 $
24h-Volumen0,2 $
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will my Manifest session with Robin Hanson be a success, in my opinion?

1T
Manifold Markets
Ja
61%
Manifold Markets
Nein
39%
Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen55 $
24h-Volumen14,1 $
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

3J
Ja
Ja
91%
Nein
Nein
9%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen49,6 $
24h-Volumen0 $
KalshiKALSHI
Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

6Mon
Caltech
Caltech
32%
Columbia
Columbia
43%
UCLA
UCLA
0%

+8 weitere Ergebnisse

24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen17,2 $
24h-Volumen0 $
KalshiKALSHI
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

6Mon
Ja
Ja
38%
Nein
Nein
62%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen13,4 $
24h-Volumen0 $
KalshiKALSHI