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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlSociety & Culture6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 12%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

19.201,6 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

10.0% / 13.0%

Spread

30.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 17:1031. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes12%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.