Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East5Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 7%+0.4%
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1131,7 €
Liquidität
182.653 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.8% / 6.9%
Spread
1.5%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
8. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes7%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 93% | +86pt | 1131,7 € | 182.653 € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Polymarket92% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 95% | +88pt | 187,6 € | 32.902,5 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5Mon
95%
5%
56 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen543.815,3 €
24h-Volumen187,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.