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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

One-OffPolitikWahlEurope6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 14%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

34,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

9.9% / 20.0%

Spread

102.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

3. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes14%

Regeln

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.

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Regeln

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.