Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 95.3%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet17. Dez. 23, 22:28 UTC31. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill António Guterres remain in office until the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiPierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Yes if an Italian Conservative Party remain in office until 31/12/2026
- No otherwise
Offene Märkte
Europe
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 419.743,6 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.1pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Rodriguez Taverna
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo70.3%
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 290.849,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 241.803,6 €
POLYMARKETSeville: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Gonzalo Bueno
- Completed Match100%
- Bueno Set 1 Winner100%
- Bueno Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 171.771,1 €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt86%
- Yes+1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 757.972,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.331,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.5pt77.7%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.3pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Seville: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ? entschieden?
- Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Yes if an Italian Conservative Party remain in office until 31/12/2026