Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 90.1%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 38 Minuten
18. Jan. 26, 20:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will succeed Pierre Poilievre as the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiWill an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Pierre Poilievre is no longer the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by December 31, 2026.
- This includes removal via the mandatory leadership review scheduled for late January 2026 in Calgary, or any subsequent leadership change during the year.
- The Conservative Party has adopted the Reform Act, which allows the leader to be removed by a vote of the majority of caucus, in addition to the party membership review process.
- The market resolves NO if Poilievre remains leader through the end of 2026.
- Poilievre has served as leader of the Conservative Party and leader of the Official Opposition since 2022.
