Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 82.5%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 26, 20:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiWill Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
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PolymarketPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Pierre Poilievre is no longer the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by December 31, 2026.
- This includes removal via the mandatory leadership review scheduled for late January 2026 in Calgary, or any subsequent leadership change during the year.
- The Conservative Party has adopted the Reform Act, which allows the leader to be removed by a vote of the majority of caucus, in addition to the party membership review process.
- The market resolves NO if Poilievre remains leader through the end of 2026.
- Poilievre has served as leader of the Conservative Party and leader of the Official Opposition since 2022.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year entschieden?
- Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria