PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92.1%-2.0pt
Nein 92.1%-2.0ptMarktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1206,7 €
Liquidität
17.726,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 19:32 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsWill same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves to “Yes” if Michael Kotlikoff’s departure as President of Cornell University is officially announced by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Michael Kotlikoff, Cornell University, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Michael Kotlikoff has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Cornell University.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when Michael Kotlikoff formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of Michael Kotlikoff’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).