PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Down 88%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
217 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 19.0%
Spread
14.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
2
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
27. Jan. 26, 22:29 UTC30. Apr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketWill at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.
