Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.8%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet1. Jan. 26, 03:31 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Chicago tax revenue declines three years in a row due to flight from the city.
Manifold MarketsCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Statistics Canada officially projects 0.3% population growth in 2025, to be followed by negative 0.2% in 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Canada's total population on December 31, 2026 is lower than on January 1, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada population estimates, available at Statistics Canada's population estimates page.
- Jan 1 2026: 41,548,511
- The government's 2025–2027 immigration plan proposes a substantial reduction of admissions of new permanent residents and a decrease in the number of non-permanent residents living in the country, with the goal of pausing population growth in the short term.
Offene Märkte
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.398,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 51.023,7 €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.861,4 €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 16.884,6 €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 43.968,7 €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 893.749,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8571,4 €
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Canada's population declines in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 72% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Canada's population declines in 2026? entschieden?
- Canada's population declines in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Canada's population declines in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria