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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Equities
  3. Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

3.0% (24h)YearlyEquitiesMacro & Economy6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 70%-3.0%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

21,2 €

Liquidität

3603,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

6. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes70%

Regeln

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
  • Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
  • See the rules for more information.

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,9 €
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will GME reach $30 before the end of 2026?

0 €
Ja: 42.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will OKLO reach $200 by the end of 2026?

364,7 €
Ja: 29%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will the S&P get this year?

How high will the S&P get this year?

30,8 €
8,000 or above: 41%KalshiKALSHI
How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year?

11,8 €
6,300 or below: 37%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,708.86+1.68%EthereumETH$1,653.83+0.97%SolanaSOL$64.96+0.65%HyperliquidHYPE$55.84-0.15%XRPXRP$1.11-0.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.80%

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Regeln

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
  • Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
  • See the rules for more information.