Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 10:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet23. Nov. 24, 15:11 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketWill the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.
- Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is greater than 42 million, then the entry for "the named outcome" will be presumed to be resolve YES (and each later entry likewise).
