Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.2%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet30. Okt. 24, 14:15 UTC31. Dez. 50, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will more than 50% of US population be convinced that free will is an illusion before year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 0.1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the US population be >500M by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill 1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves according to US census data.
- If the census ceases to publish data, the best available estimate will be used.
- Resolves NA if the US ceases to exist.
