PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86.1%+4.5pt
Nein 86.1%+4.5ptMarktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6483 €
Liquidität
3491,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 15:57 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PolymarketUS plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the United States at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify.