KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jan 1, 2027 17%-11.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5,1 €
Liquidität
73,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
16.0% / 19.0%
Spread
18.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
14. Mai 26, 2:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Jan 1, 202717%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
1.0%6Mon
-0.0%12%
+0.0%89%
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen493.230,2 €
24h-Volumen238,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An approval is defined as:
- For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
- The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
- Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
- The following do NOT constitute approvals:
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An approval is defined as:
- For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application
- The following constitute approvals that trigger the Payout Criterion:
- Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit) Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints) Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs
- The following do NOT constitute approvals: