PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 5%
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
145.259,6 €
Liquidität
651.805,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 5.1%
Spread
2.0%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-1.4%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
4. Mai 26, 14:3331. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
6Mon
2.5%
97.5%
Community-Prognose332 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen230.215,6 €
24h-Volumen18,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.