PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 12%
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
15.028,8 €
Liquidität
28.893,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.5% / 4.0%
Spread
0.5 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
19. Sept. 26, 00:27 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsIs African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsHealthcare AI adoption in September
KalshiPandemic in 2026?
KalshiWas the 2021 Ebola outbreak caused by a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 199.160,7 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10 Mio. €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.063,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 171.032,1 €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 199.377,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
- Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet June 30, 2027 mit 12% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird Anthropic lab leak by which date? entschieden?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date? soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Anthropic lab leak by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.