Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet25. Dez. 23, 14:25 UTC2. Jan. 40, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegeln
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.620,9 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5183,7 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 83.504,6 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.245,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.756,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1507,6 €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4192,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? mit 39% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? entschieden?
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? soll am 2. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory