LimitlessVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 27.10.2026, 10:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 2026 50%
December 31, 2026 50%Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 13:25 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Anthropic lab leak by...? · June 30, 2027 9%
