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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

Health & MedicineOne-OffPolitikUS Politics6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 6%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

387,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.2% / 8.9%

Spread

43.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

8. Dez. 25, 22:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes6%

Regeln

If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire December 31, 2025.
  • Clarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure.
  • This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria.
  • An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.

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Regeln

If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire December 31, 2025.
  • Clarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure.
  • This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria.
  • An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.