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When or where will Trump die?
9J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCAlarme
Folge diesem Markt, um Alarme zu erstellen.
Prognosekontext
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2025 0%
Prognostiker
141
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
VeraltetZuletzt aktualisiert: 13. Apr., 11:46
Auflosung
01.01.2036, 22:59
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-
Start 04.01.2025, 15:15Ende 01.01.2036, 22:59
Trends
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Regeln
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources
- The exact date of death cannot be determined
- The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear
Themen
PolitikKIGeopolitik
Verwandte Märkte
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