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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. When, where or how will Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?

When, where or how will Trump die?

PolitikOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsWahlKIGeopolitik18J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2025
2025 0%
Führend unter 77 Optionen
Prognostiker

321

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet
4. Jan. 25, 15:151. Jan. 45, 22:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

20264%

Regeln

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if:

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Before Jan 1, 2027: 74%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,963.66+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.34+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.39+1.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.59%BNBBNB$597.22+1.84%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%

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Regeln

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if: