Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
On Earth 99%Führend unter 88 Optionen
On Earth 99%Prognostiker
346
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet4. Jan. 25, 15:15 UTC1. Jan. 45, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin next meet?
KalshiWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.
- He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
- According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
- If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if: