Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJoe Biden 53.9%
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
18. Juni 24, 13:00 UTC19. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
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FutuurRegeln
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Joe Biden mit 54% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? entschieden?
- Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? soll am 19. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.