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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl4Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 71%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

210,7 €

Liquidität

1560,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

68.0% / 73.0%

Spread

7.3%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-6.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

27. Mai 26, 15:333. Nov. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes71%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.